Colombier
James Doyle · Hamad Al Jehani
12/1
Form 5010-9OR 95RPR 108TS 99J SR 15%T SR 33.33%Draw 20Last 18dAge 6
GBHandicapClass 3
17:40 Goodwood
HKJC World Pool Handicap
7f · Good To Firm · 20 runners · n/a
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Runner data
Defence Minister
Jamie Spencer · Hamad Al Jehani
25/1
Form 001-94OR 95RPR 105TS 80J SR 8%T SR 33.33%Draw 13Last 41dAge 4
Bobby Bennu
Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
4/1Fav
Form 24-055OR 95RPR 108TS 79J SR 18%T SR 65%Draw 5Last 32dAge 5
One Smack Mac
William Carver · Jamie Osborne
100/1
Form 90-002OR 95RPR 106TS 63J SR 13%T SR 58.33%Draw 19Last 25dAge 4
Pellitory
Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara
10/1
Form 200-05OR 94RPR 107TS 82J SR 17%T SR 50%Draw 16Last 19dAge 4
Silver Ghost
David Egan · Emma Lavelle
10/1
Form 023-66OR 93RPR 107TS 84J SR 17%T SR 50%Draw 12Last 25dAge 4
Morte Point
Jason Hart · William Muir & Chris Grassick
22/1
Form 619000OR 93RPR 103TS 76J SR 20%T SR 50%Draw 15Last 19dAge 4
The Fingal Raven
Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne
25/1
Form 905514OR 93RPR 103TS 77J SR 21%T SR 58.33%Draw 1Last 18dAge 4
Hawksbill
George Wood · Richard Spencer
8/1
Form 70605-OR 93RPR 107TS 90J SR 4%T SR 52.63%Draw 8Last 34dAge 4
Superposition
William Buick · Ed Dunlop
16/1
Form 431904OR 92RPR 106TS 96J SR 36%T SR 36.36%Draw 14Last 19dAge 5
Crimson Spirit
Ryan Moore · Daniel & Claire Kubler
15/2
Form 24103-OR 91RPR 106TS 90J SR 14%T SR 87.5%Draw 10Last 18dAge 5
Hunters Lullaby
Elione Chaves · Niels Petersen
33/1
Form 231-22OR 90RPR -TS -J SR 0%T SR 0%Draw 17Last 20dAge 5
Rajeko
Hector Crouch · Michael Bell
33/1
Form 000-02OR 90RPR 105TS 69J SR 11%T SR 50%Draw 7Last 32dAge 4
Rhoscolyn
Oisin Murphy · David O'Meara
10/1
Form 5005-4OR 90RPR 111TS 90J SR 19%T SR 50%Draw 3Last 13dAge 8
Zarathos
Kieran Shoemark · Dylan Cunha
16/1
Form 521140OR 90RPR 109TS 98J SR 15%T SR 56%Draw 9Last 31dAge 4
Divine Libra
Tom Marquand · Charles Hills
18/1
Form 588-26OR 89RPR 106TS 94J SR 9%T SR 60%Draw 4Last 25dAge 6
Humam
Silvestre De Sousa · Stuart Williams
33/1
Form 300-43OR 89RPR 106TS 60J SR 10%T SR 54.84%Draw 18Last 31dAge 4
Oliver Show
Billy Loughnane · George Boughey
8/1
Form 400-59OR 89RPR 111TS 69J SR 29%T SR 57.14%Draw 11Last 68dAge 6
Goldmoyne
Mason Paetel · James Owen
15/2
Form 322459OR 89RPR 106TS 98J SR 13%T SR 78.26%Draw 6Last 19dAge 6
The Liffey
Marco Ghiani · Hayley Burton
16/1
Form 115116OR 89RPR 105TS -J SR 26%T SR 100%Draw 2Last 27dAge 5
| Horse | Form | OR | RPR | TS | Jockey | Trainer | J SR | T SR | Odds | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombier | 5010-9 | 95 | 108 | 99 | James Doyle | Hamad Al Jehani | 15% | 33.33% | 12/1 | 18d |
| Defence Minister | 001-94 | 95 | 105 | 80 | Jamie Spencer | Hamad Al Jehani | 8% | 33.33% | 25/1 | 41d |
| Bobby Bennu | 24-055 | 95 | 108 | 79 | Ray Dawson | Roger Varian | 18% | 65% | 4/1 | 32d |
| One Smack Mac | 90-002 | 95 | 106 | 63 | William Carver | Jamie Osborne | 13% | 58.33% | 100/1 | 25d |
| Pellitory | 200-05 | 94 | 107 | 82 | Daniel Tudhope | David O'Meara | 17% | 50% | 10/1 | 19d |
| Silver Ghost | 023-66 | 93 | 107 | 84 | David Egan | Emma Lavelle | 17% | 50% | 10/1 | 25d |
| Morte Point | 619000 | 93 | 103 | 76 | Jason Hart | William Muir & Chris Grassick | 20% | 50% | 22/1 | 19d |
| The Fingal Raven | 905514 | 93 | 103 | 77 | Saffie Osborne | Jamie Osborne | 21% | 58.33% | 25/1 | 18d |
| Hawksbill | 70605- | 93 | 107 | 90 | George Wood | Richard Spencer | 4% | 52.63% | 8/1 | 34d |
| Superposition | 431904 | 92 | 106 | 96 | William Buick | Ed Dunlop | 36% | 36.36% | 16/1 | 19d |
| Crimson Spirit | 24103- | 91 | 106 | 90 | Ryan Moore | Daniel & Claire Kubler | 14% | 87.5% | 15/2 | 18d |
| Hunters Lullaby | 231-22 | 90 | - | - | Elione Chaves | Niels Petersen | 0% | 0% | 33/1 | 20d |
| Rajeko | 000-02 | 90 | 105 | 69 | Hector Crouch | Michael Bell | 11% | 50% | 33/1 | 32d |
| Rhoscolyn | 5005-4 | 90 | 111 | 90 | Oisin Murphy | David O'Meara | 19% | 50% | 10/1 | 13d |
| Zarathos | 521140 | 90 | 109 | 98 | Kieran Shoemark | Dylan Cunha | 15% | 56% | 16/1 | 31d |
| Divine Libra | 588-26 | 89 | 106 | 94 | Tom Marquand | Charles Hills | 9% | 60% | 18/1 | 25d |
| Humam | 300-43 | 89 | 106 | 60 | Silvestre De Sousa | Stuart Williams | 10% | 54.84% | 33/1 | 31d |
| Oliver Show | 400-59 | 89 | 111 | 69 | Billy Loughnane | George Boughey | 29% | 57.14% | 8/1 | 68d |
| Goldmoyne | 322459 | 89 | 106 | 98 | Mason Paetel | James Owen | 13% | 78.26% | 15/2 | 19d |
| The Liffey | 115116 | 89 | 105 | - | Marco Ghiani | Hayley Burton | 26% | 100% | 16/1 | 27d |
Strategy ranking
Goodwood HKJC World Pool Handicap - 20 runners, Good To Firm. Top rated: Crimson Spirit (score: 73, confidence: medium, risk: medium).
#1 Back audit row
Crimson Spirit
Ryan Moore / Daniel & Claire Kubler · odds 15/2
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
73
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm60/100
Last 2 positions: 2, 4. fresh
classSuitability85/100
OR: 91. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 87.5% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate30/100
Jockey SR 14% - below average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 5W 0P from 5 runs
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
valueOdds75/100
Second favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 5W 0P from 5 runs
- Strong classSuitability: OR: 91. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
Warnings
- Large field increases variance
#2 Back audit row
Bobby Bennu
Ray Dawson / Roger Varian · odds 4/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
72
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm38/100
Last 2 positions: 2, 4. 32 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability85/100
OR: 95. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 65% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 18% - average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds90/100
Market favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
- Strong valueOdds: Market favourite
- Strong classSuitability: OR: 95. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
Warnings
- Large field increases variance
#3 Back audit row
Goldmoyne
Mason Paetel / James Owen · odds 15/2
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
72
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm70/100
Last 2 positions: 3, 2. fresh
classSuitability80/100
OR: 89. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 78.26% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate30/100
Jockey SR 13% - below average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 5W 0P from 5 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds60/100
Third favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong recentForm: Last 2 positions: 3, 2. fresh
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 5W 0P from 5 runs
- Strong classSuitability: OR: 89. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
Warnings
- Large field increases variance
#4 Back audit row
Morte Point
Jason Hart / William Muir & Chris Grassick · odds 22/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
69
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm55/100
Last 2 positions: 6, 1. fresh
classSuitability85/100
OR: 93. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 50% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate70/100
Jockey SR 20% - good
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 4W 0P from 4 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds15/100
Market rank 14 - outsider
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 4W 0P from 4 runs
- Strong classSuitability: OR: 93. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
Warnings
- Large field increases variance
- Market rank and form don't suggest competitiveness
#5 Back audit row
Superposition
William Buick / Ed Dunlop · odds 16/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
69
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm50/100
Last 2 positions: 4, 3. fresh
classSuitability85/100
OR: 92. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 36.36% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate100/100
Jockey SR 36% - excellent
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds15/100
Market rank 10 - outsider
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
- Strong jockeyStrikeRate: Jockey SR 36% - excellent
Warnings
- No going form at today's ground
- Large field increases variance
#6 Back audit row
The Liffey
Marco Ghiani / Hayley Burton · odds 16/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
69
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm88/100
Last 2 positions: 1, 1. 27 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability80/100
OR: 89. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 20 - too large
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 100% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate85/100
Jockey SR 26% - very good
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds15/100
Market rank 12 - outsider
Why this qualifies
- Strong recentForm: Last 2 positions: 1, 1. 27 days since last run (penalty applied)
- Strong classSuitability: OR: 89. Class drop from last run (+10 bonus)
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 100% - excellent
Warnings
- No top speed rating available
- No going form at today's ground
- Large field increases variance