Strategy monitor
What is actually running?
This page shows only the governed live paper-capture experiments and clearly separates failed/blocked legacy ideas. Green numbers are early paper evidence, not real-money approval.
Active paper rules
4
Settled records
3460
Paper orders
4986
Rule-sum P&L (overlaps)
£235.61
Rule-sum ROI (not portfolio)
+1.06%
Plain-English read
Designed to stop stale or failed strategies looking active.
Running now: WIN and PLACE drift-lay paper-capture rules only.
Not running: steamers, false favourites, old back tips, stale MorningWAP artefacts and each-way/place alternatives that failed validation.
Decision rule: early positive P&L is encouraging, but anything under 50 settled records is still a tiny sample and cannot be promoted.
Overlap warning: headline rule sums contain overlapping candidate variants. Use the individual rule cards for evidence; the total is not portfolio profit.
Active paper-capture candidates
These are the only strategy families worth watching right now.
PLACE higher-odds drift lays
Stronger PLACE drift rule in odds 3.5–8.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
PLACE GB/IE high-field drift lays
Forward-only PLACE drift rule for odds 3.5–8 in 12+ runner GB/Irish fields.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN stronger drift lays: odds 2–8
Stricter WIN drift rule: at least 30% drift, odds 2–8, field 8+.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN drift lays: odds 2–8, field 10+
Lay WIN runners that drift at least 20% from the baseline into the 2–8 odds band in 10+ runner fields.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Diagnostics / deprioritised rules
Still visible for audit and monitoring, but not counted as independent primary strategies.
PLACE drift lays: odds 1.5–5
Lay PLACE runners that drift at least 20% into odds 1.5–5 in 8+ runner fields.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
PLACE GB high-field drift lays
GB-only PLACE drift rule for odds 3.5–8 in 12+ runner fields.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN drift lays: field 12+
Larger-field WIN drift slice.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN GB drift lays: odds 5–8
GB-only stronger-drift slice in the 5–8 odds band.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN top-4 diagnostic drift lays
Diagnostic overlap check for R2 using baseline top-4 rank. Not treated as an independent strategy.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN lost-favourite drift lays
Lay a baseline favourite that has drifted and is no longer current favourite.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN longshot drift lays: odds 8–16
Higher-frequency longshot drift lay rule. Watch liability carefully because one winner can wipe many small wins.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
WIN morning favourite drift lays
Lay the baseline favourite when it drifts at least 20% into odds 2–8 in 10+ runner fields.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Removed / archived strategies
These are hidden from the active board because they already failed or are blocked.
WIN/PLACE steamers
Historical steamers failed walk-forward/holdout; 2025 burned. Removed from active UI.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Low-volume PLACE lay artefact
Looked positive at stale MorningWAP but failed at BSP/executable checks.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Generic false-favourite lays
Broad false-favourite families failed validation/forward evidence.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Legacy back tips
Forward Back tips failed badly; kept audit-only, not an active strategy.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.
Candidate A all-runner MorningWAP lay
Historical +4% remains execution-feasibility only; not promoted because MorningWAP may not be executable.
Paper lay stake is the requested amount per simulated order; liability varies with the matched odds. Peak concurrent liability is estimated from capture until 30 minutes after scheduled off. ROI still uses cumulative historical liability.