Moving Shadow
Sam James · K R Burke
EvsFav
Form -71OR 81RPR 84TS 62J SR 20%T SR 52.94%Draw 2Last 271dAge 3
GBNon-handicapClass 4
19:02 Leicester
Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-Hire Wedding Venue Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Good To Firm · 4 runners · n/a
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Runner data
Winston's Oath
Christian Howarth · James Owen
33/1
Form -OR -RPR -TS -J SR 11%T SR 78.26%Draw 3Last 999dAge 4
Siwa Oasis
David Probert · Charles Hills
13/8
Form 457-2OR 77RPR 81TS 65J SR 16%T SR 60%Draw 4Last 15dAge 3
Yordan
Kevin Stott · Kevin Ryan
4/1
Form -OR -RPR -TS -J SR 9%T SR 42.86%Draw 1Last 999dAge 3
| Horse | Form | OR | RPR | TS | Jockey | Trainer | J SR | T SR | Odds | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moving Shadow | -71 | 81 | 84 | 62 | Sam James | K R Burke | 20% | 52.94% | Evs | 271d |
| Winston's Oath | - | - | - | Christian Howarth | James Owen | 11% | 78.26% | 33/1 | 999d | |
| Siwa Oasis | 457-2 | 77 | 81 | 65 | David Probert | Charles Hills | 16% | 60% | 13/8 | 15d |
| Yordan | - | - | - | Kevin Stott | Kevin Ryan | 9% | 42.86% | 4/1 | 999d |
Strategy ranking
Leicester Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-Hire Wedding Venue Novice Stakes (GBB Race) - 4 runners, Good To Firm. Top rated: Moving Shadow (score: 63, confidence: medium, risk: medium).
#1 Back audit row
Moving Shadow
Sam James / K R Burke · odds Evs
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
63
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
Last 2 positions: 99, 7. 271 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability70/100
OR: 81
raceTypeMatch60/100
Non-handicap race
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 52.94% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate70/100
Jockey SR 20% - good
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
valueOdds90/100
Market favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
- Strong valueOdds: Market favourite
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 52.94% - excellent
Warnings
- Long absence: 271 days since last run
#2 Back audit row
Siwa Oasis
David Probert / Charles Hills · odds 13/8
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
56
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm30/100
Last 2 positions: 4, 5. fresh
classSuitability60/100
OR: 77
raceTypeMatch60/100
Non-handicap race
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 60% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 16% - average
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds75/100
Second favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 60% - excellent
- Strong valueOdds: Second favourite
- Weak recentForm: Last 2 positions: 4, 5. fresh
Warnings
- No going form at today's ground
#3 Back audit row
Yordan
Kevin Stott / Kevin Ryan · odds 4/1
NO BETLOW confidenceHIGH risk
42
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
No recent runs available
classSuitability50/100
No official rating available
raceTypeMatch60/100
Non-handicap race
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 42.86% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate15/100
Jockey SR 9% - poor
goingSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral going assessment
distanceSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral distance assessment
courseSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral course assessment
valueOdds60/100
Third favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 42.86% - excellent
Warnings
- Low data quality for: recentForm, classSuitability, goingSuitability, distanceSuitability, courseSuitability
- No official rating available
- No RPR available
- No top speed rating available
- Long absence: 999 days since last run
- Limited career data
#4 Back audit row
Winston's Oath
Christian Howarth / James Owen · odds 33/1
NO BETLOW confidenceHIGH risk
41
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
No recent runs available
classSuitability50/100
No official rating available
raceTypeMatch60/100
Non-handicap race
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 78.26% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate30/100
Jockey SR 11% - below average
goingSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral going assessment
distanceSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral distance assessment
courseSuitability50/100
No career runs - neutral course assessment
valueOdds45/100
Fourth in market
Why this qualifies
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 78.26% - excellent
Warnings
- Low data quality for: recentForm, classSuitability, goingSuitability, distanceSuitability, courseSuitability
- No official rating available
- No RPR available
- No top speed rating available
- Long absence: 999 days since last run
- Limited career data