Calafrio
Benoit De La Sayette · George Baker
11/4
Form 5-5196OR 58RPR 66TS 55J SR 18%T SR 44.44%Draw 4Last 207dAge 5
GBHandicapClass 6
19:37 Leicester
Remembering Mike Furlong Handicap
6f · Good To Firm · 4 runners · n/a
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Runner data
Rye
NON-RUNNER · Tony Carroll
9/2
Form 624233OR 58RPR 68TS 64J SR 0%T SR 50%Draw 5Last 54dAge 4
Tomarlo
NON-RUNNER · Ollie Sangster
6/1
Form 513407OR 57RPR 67TS 55J SR 0%T SR 52.17%Draw 6Last 13dAge 4
Von Krolock
Christian Howarth · James Owen
5/1
Form 613231OR 56RPR 70TS 47J SR 11%T SR 78.26%Draw 2Last 95dAge 7
Melissa Honey
David Probert · Michael Herrington
7/4Fav
Form 121346OR 56RPR 70TS 59J SR 16%T SR 33.33%Draw 3Last 25dAge 4
Last Outlaw
Ben Robinson · Max Young
33/1
Form 0550-5OR 49RPR 66TS 74J SR 0%T SR 0%Draw 1Last 31dAge 5
| Horse | Form | OR | RPR | TS | Jockey | Trainer | J SR | T SR | Odds | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calafrio | 5-5196 | 58 | 66 | 55 | Benoit De La Sayette | George Baker | 18% | 44.44% | 11/4 | 207d |
| Rye | 624233 | 58 | 68 | 64 | NON-RUNNER | Tony Carroll | 0% | 50% | 9/2 | 54d |
| Tomarlo | 513407 | 57 | 67 | 55 | NON-RUNNER | Ollie Sangster | 0% | 52.17% | 6/1 | 13d |
| Von Krolock | 613231 | 56 | 70 | 47 | Christian Howarth | James Owen | 11% | 78.26% | 5/1 | 95d |
| Melissa Honey | 121346 | 56 | 70 | 59 | David Probert | Michael Herrington | 16% | 33.33% | 7/4 | 25d |
| Last Outlaw | 0550-5 | 49 | 66 | 74 | Ben Robinson | Max Young | 0% | 0% | 33/1 | 31d |
Strategy ranking
Leicester Remembering Mike Furlong Handicap - 4 runners, Good To Firm. Top rated: Melissa Honey (score: 78, confidence: medium, risk: low).
#1 Back audit row
Melissa Honey
David Probert / Michael Herrington · odds 7/4
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
78
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm82/100
Last 2 positions: 1, 2. 25 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 56. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 33.33% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 16% - average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
valueOdds90/100
Market favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong recentForm: Last 2 positions: 1, 2. 25 days since last run (penalty applied)
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
- Strong valueOdds: Market favourite
#2 Back audit row
Calafrio
Benoit De La Sayette / George Baker · odds 11/4
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
57
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
Last 2 positions: 5, 99. 207 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 58. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 44.44% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 18% - average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds75/100
Second favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 44.44% - excellent
- Strong valueOdds: Second favourite
Warnings
- Long absence: 207 days since last run
#3 Back audit row
Von Krolock
Christian Howarth / James Owen · odds 5/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
48
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
Last 2 positions: 6, 1. 95 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 56. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 78.26% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate30/100
Jockey SR 11% - below average
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds45/100
Fourth in market
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 78.26% - excellent
- Strong raceTypeMatch: Handicap race - preferred race type
Warnings
- Long absence: 95 days since last run
- No going form at today's ground
#4 Back audit row
Last Outlaw
Ben Robinson / Max Young · odds 33/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceHIGH risk
35
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
Last 2 positions: 0, 5. 31 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 49. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize40/100
Field of 4 - too small
trainerStrikeRate15/100
Trainer SR 0% - poor
jockeyStrikeRate15/100
Jockey SR 0% - poor
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
valueOdds30/100
Market rank 6
Why this qualifies
- Strong raceTypeMatch: Handicap race - preferred race type