Stormy Pearl
Rhys Elliott · David Thompson
4/1
Form 03452-OR 53RPR 61TS 53J SR 9%T SR 60%Draw 6Last 28dAge 6
GBHandicapClass 6
16:20 Redcar
Happy Big Birthday Rachel Blizzard Apprentice Handicap
6f · Good To Firm · 9 runners · n/a
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Runner data
Dolly's Delight
Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado
7/1
Form 58656-OR 52RPR 59TS 50J SR 33%T SR 58.33%Draw 4Last 28dAge 4
Night Emperor
Warren Fentiman · Tina Jackson
5/1
Form 54468/OR 49RPR 63TS 56J SR 0%T SR 40%Draw 8Last 13dAge 4
Mrs Trump
Jack Nicholls · Paul Midgley
9/2
Form 8767-8OR 49RPR 60TS 47J SR 19%T SR 33.33%Draw 2Last 28dAge 6
Valsharah
Conor Whiteley · Michael Appleby
7/2Fav
Form 224406OR 49RPR 64TS 55J SR 15%T SR 41.67%Draw 1Last 22dAge 4
Golden Prosperity
Jake Dickson · Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
7/1
Form 334506OR 49RPR 63TS 56J SR 24%T SR 28.57%Draw 7Last 15dAge 7
Due Respect
Amie Waugh · Gary Rutherford
12/1
Form 84057-OR 48RPR 62TS 58J SR 0%T SR 25%Draw 3Last 16dAge 4
South Shore Island
Molly Keegan-Price · Lizzie Quinlan
8/1
Form 43-575OR 47RPR 64TS 56J SR 0%T SR 44.44%Draw 9Last 48dAge 4
Captain Bentley
Poppy Scott · Michael Mullineaux
100/1
Form 6-0006OR 45RPR 59TS 60J SR 100%T SR 0%Draw 5Last 32dAge 7
| Horse | Form | OR | RPR | TS | Jockey | Trainer | J SR | T SR | Odds | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stormy Pearl | 03452- | 53 | 61 | 53 | Rhys Elliott | David Thompson | 9% | 60% | 4/1 | 28d |
| Dolly's Delight | 58656- | 52 | 59 | 50 | Elle-May Croot | Ivan Furtado | 33% | 58.33% | 7/1 | 28d |
| Night Emperor | 54468/ | 49 | 63 | 56 | Warren Fentiman | Tina Jackson | 0% | 40% | 5/1 | 13d |
| Mrs Trump | 8767-8 | 49 | 60 | 47 | Jack Nicholls | Paul Midgley | 19% | 33.33% | 9/2 | 28d |
| Valsharah | 224406 | 49 | 64 | 55 | Conor Whiteley | Michael Appleby | 15% | 41.67% | 7/2 | 22d |
| Golden Prosperity | 334506 | 49 | 63 | 56 | Jake Dickson | Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood | 24% | 28.57% | 7/1 | 15d |
| Due Respect | 84057- | 48 | 62 | 58 | Amie Waugh | Gary Rutherford | 0% | 25% | 12/1 | 16d |
| South Shore Island | 43-575 | 47 | 64 | 56 | Molly Keegan-Price | Lizzie Quinlan | 0% | 44.44% | 8/1 | 48d |
| Captain Bentley | 6-0006 | 45 | 59 | 60 | Poppy Scott | Michael Mullineaux | 100% | 0% | 100/1 | 32d |
Strategy ranking
Redcar Happy Big Birthday Rachel Blizzard Apprentice Handicap - 9 runners, Good To Firm. Top rated: Valsharah (score: 72, confidence: medium, risk: low).
#1 Back audit row
Valsharah
Conor Whiteley / Michael Appleby · odds 7/2
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
72
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm78/100
Last 2 positions: 2, 2. 22 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 49. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 41.67% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 15% - average
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds90/100
Market favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong recentForm: Last 2 positions: 2, 2. 22 days since last run (penalty applied)
- Strong valueOdds: Market favourite
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 41.67% - excellent
Warnings
- No going form at today's ground
#2 Back audit row
Golden Prosperity
Jake Dickson / Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · odds 7/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
70
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm60/100
Last 2 positions: 3, 3. fresh
classSuitability40/100
OR: 49. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate85/100
Trainer SR 28.57% - very good
jockeyStrikeRate70/100
Jockey SR 24% - good
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds30/100
Market rank 6
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 28.57% - very good
#3 Back audit row
Stormy Pearl
Rhys Elliott / David Thompson · odds 4/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
63
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm21/100
Last 2 positions: 0, 3. 28 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 53. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 60% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate15/100
Jockey SR 9% - poor
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
valueOdds75/100
Second favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 60% - excellent
- Strong valueOdds: Second favourite
#4 Back audit row
Mrs Trump
Jack Nicholls / Paul Midgley · odds 9/2
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
60
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm0/100
Last 2 positions: 8, 7. 28 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 49. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 33.33% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate50/100
Jockey SR 19% - average
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
distanceSuitability100/100
Distance record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
courseSuitability100/100
Course record: 2W 0P from 2 runs
valueOdds60/100
Third favourite
Why this qualifies
- Strong distanceSuitability: Distance record: 3W 0P from 3 runs
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 33.33% - excellent
- Strong raceTypeMatch: Handicap race - preferred race type
#5 Back audit row
Dolly's Delight
Elle-May Croot / Ivan Furtado · odds 7/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceLOW risk
55
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm1/100
Last 2 positions: 5, 8. 28 days since last run (penalty applied)
classSuitability40/100
OR: 52. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 58.33% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate100/100
Jockey SR 33% - excellent
goingSuitability100/100
Going record: 1W 0P from 1 runs
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds30/100
Market rank 5
Why this qualifies
- Strong jockeyStrikeRate: Jockey SR 33% - excellent
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 58.33% - excellent
- Strong raceTypeMatch: Handicap race - preferred race type
#6 Back audit row
Night Emperor
Warren Fentiman / Tina Jackson · odds 5/1
NO BETMEDIUM confidenceMEDIUM risk
52
Composite transparent score
Back staking circuit-breaker
This regular Back selection is shown for transparency only. Live production settlement is negative, so Railside recommends £0 default Back risk and does not treat this card as a betting instruction.Evidence factors
recentForm30/100
Last 2 positions: 5, 4. fresh
classSuitability40/100
OR: 49. Class rise from last run (-10 penalty)
raceTypeMatch90/100
Handicap race - preferred race type
fieldSize100/100
Field of 9 - optimal size
trainerStrikeRate100/100
Trainer SR 40% - excellent
jockeyStrikeRate15/100
Jockey SR 0% - poor
goingSuitability50/100
No going-specific runs - neutral
distanceSuitability50/100
No distance-specific runs - neutral
courseSuitability50/100
No course-specific runs - neutral
valueOdds45/100
Fourth in market
Why this qualifies
- Strong trainerStrikeRate: Trainer SR 40% - excellent
- Weak recentForm: Last 2 positions: 5, 4. fresh
- Strong raceTypeMatch: Handicap race - preferred race type
Warnings
- No going form at today's ground